Toward a synthesis of paradigms for decision support

Michael Egner; Paul K. Davis

doi:10.1117/12.547426

13 August 2004 Toward a synthesis of paradigms for decision support

Michael Egner, Paul K. Davis

Proceedings Volume 5423, Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VIII; (2004) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.547426
Event: Defense and Security, 2004, Orlando, Florida, United States

Abstract

Over the past half-century, the study of human decision making has evolved from dry philosophy into a diverse set of experimentally-tested, behavior-centered theories. However, the sheer volume of disciplines and sub-disciplines-and the often-esoteric debates that divide them-threaten to obscure the very real advances that have been made in modeling human decision making. This paper, giving preliminary analysis from a longer study,[1] begins to address the "so-what" factor in decision making theory, specifically as related to Air Force modeling, simulation, and decision-support needs. While a general consensus is forming on how humans make decisions (descriptive), there are still major conflicts on how humans should make decisions (normative), and by extension, how human decision making can be improved (prescriptive). The first half of this paper surveys modern decision science, focusing on two of the most influential sub-disciplines: the heuristics & biases paradigm (HBP) and the naturalistic paradigm (NP). The second half of this paper will attempt to sketch out a normative/prescriptive synthesis between the two schools, and chart implications for design of decision support.

Citation Download Citation

Michael Egner and Paul K. Davis "Toward a synthesis of paradigms for decision support", Proc. SPIE 5423, Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VIII, (13 August 2004); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.547426

ACCESS THE FULL ARTICLE

INSTITUTIONAL
Select your institution to access the SPIE Digital Library.

SELECT YOUR INSTITUTION

PERSONAL
Sign in with your SPIE account to access your personal subscriptions or to use specific features such as save to my library, sign up for alerts, save searches, etc.

PERSONAL SIGN IN

No SPIE Account? Create one

PURCHASE THIS CONTENT

SUBSCRIBE TO DIGITAL LIBRARY

50 downloads per 1-year subscription

Members: $195

Non-members: $335 ADD TO CART

25 downloads per 1 - year subscription

Members: $145

Non-members: $250 ADD TO CART

PURCHASE SINGLE ARTICLE

Includes PDF, HTML & Video, when available